Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 10.033324 11.105340 12.255813 13.584314 15.078591 16.710198 18.630441
2025-09-21 8.124418 9.553867 11.196560 13.232076 15.697806 18.601982 22.302094
2025-09-28 6.878208 8.504428 10.483057 13.085980 16.447002 20.677069 26.461497
2025-10-05 6.191989 7.998357 10.309180 13.515407 17.901140 23.766440 32.333016
2025-10-12 5.640477 7.568197 10.144719 13.892072 19.289613 26.916956 38.754039
2025-10-19 5.100984 7.072485 9.809606 13.958436 20.214084 29.501840 44.733602
2025-10-26 4.605570 6.571484 9.393592 13.830991 20.801844 31.625180 50.296892
2025-11-02 4.176521 6.113912 8.979654 13.637521 21.233572 33.523813 55.749937
2025-11-09 3.803526 5.698132 8.577704 13.401870 21.544665 35.233476 61.109389
2025-11-16 3.497659 5.353290 8.245671 13.230491 21.922000 37.074567 66.961575
2025-11-23 3.250286 5.075906 7.990095 13.149535 22.429344 39.185460 73.633503
2025-11-30 3.101092 4.941920 7.951786 13.428151 23.595591 42.630138 83.485599
2025-12-07 2.888322 4.689273 7.699859 13.318136 24.062976 44.874866 91.414055
2025-12-14 2.669727 4.408879 7.375912 13.044148 24.187676 46.471167 98.270680
2025-12-21 2.500046 4.198591 7.155205 12.936582 24.620367 48.746675 107.083650
2025-12-28 2.426837 4.151551 7.220993 13.379913 26.215630 53.694932 123.178870
2026-01-04 2.350042 4.090996 7.255206 13.762703 27.732043 58.702822 140.520762
2026-01-11 2.239030 3.958251 7.141665 13.833790 28.584929 62.336985 155.129892
2026-01-18 2.114022 3.789504 6.944546 13.710413 28.989113 64.976823 167.644357
2026-01-25 1.992049 3.617431 6.726672 13.520271 29.216085 67.219566 179.551559
2026-02-01 1.875574 3.447634 6.499761 13.287633 29.314392 69.155362 191.013084
2026-02-08 1.775006 3.302000 6.310166 13.118276 29.543010 71.461950 204.162677
2026-02-15 1.690983 3.183443 6.166767 13.038287 29.980536 74.390895 220.016303